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Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Gérald Darmanin for Peace


 tag: policy    || Date:  July 19, 2017   

Gérald Darmanin France Politician
Gérald Darmanin France Politician

accomplish you know who has ended the most harm to the armies past the end of the cold War? The Iraqi army? The Taliban? Al Qaeda? Al-Mourabitoune? The Islamic State? No, these are little players. Organizations that have, and from far and wide away, the more our military capabilities are called the party of the little embassy shopkeepers and the group of the tall officials of Bercy, the second serving as armed arms to the first ... unless it is the opposite as the finance officials are powerful.

A force of "peace dividends", repelled or reduced orders, budget gels, under-financed external operations (it will be essential to notify to me how EUR 450 million can be foreseen to finance something that costs an average of one billion for 27 years), grant of archaic materials, small scraps of candles on the right and left (in the embassy sense) it is actually competent to pull off melting armies much faster than any enemy , or even every of our enemies together.

Bravo, therefore, to Bercy and the little punks who have succeeded in their continuing efforts to divide by three the "major operational contract" (basically "general mobilization") in lonesome twenty-five years, without even talking more or less any idea of "remounting in power" purely and simply sacrificed. Thank you for bringing the army encourage to the Armistice Army level in 1940 without even having to deploy a panzer. Congratulations upon having succeeded, despite a florange per month and the collapse of the volume of equipment, to always repel the thesame "hump" of 40 billion euros to be found to simply pay anything that was ordered in the years 1990. Thank you another time and finally to force us more and more to draw to others and more specifically to the Americans to compensate for what we can no longer reach upon a large scale and upon the duration such as strategic airlift or in-flight refuelling.

So let's salute this other summer detestable by Bercy and the promptness of the fine students. The fiddle with of knack and the replacement of a minister-heavy political (hear "whose threat of resignation has an effect") by a executive without knowledge or special appetite for the armies is utterly not for nothing. It seems that she knows the budgetary arcanes of Bercy, we will see if that will resistance or complicity. This offensive could, however, have been more discreet consequently much is the shift subsequent to posture, gestures, displacement, speeches, not to citation the stir programme of the President of the Republic but anything is appropriately foreseeable in the midst of those who are striving for sovereign ministries (which will be reminded that they represent on your own 2.8% of GDP for a sum public expenditure of 56%).

Even if we were to chat roughly war, we would have liked to hear Mr Darmanin chat not quite the one that would be ruthlessly waged next to fraudsters of all kinds and especially the enormous, those who represent at least EUR 60 billion in revenue less (by the way, where do we stand for the treatment of Panama papers and the Punishment of thieves?)). One would like to know why all year 30 billion euros (almost the defence budget) are fixed to foreigners in debt assimilation like they could be to French (you know this system of loans that allows the welcome to finance major investments and later to maintain domestic consumption by reimbursing them). One would have liked to hear also approximately the famous plan of 50 billion euros of investments of the disquiet program. By dedicating a portion to the defence, this may be competent to finally come out of the spiral of crisis that has affected the armies for twenty-five years even if playing on a high-tech industry little and whose effects would gain the entire group including public finances (because and that's where politics in the tiny Week is the stupidest) : A euro invested in the armies is the one that in good brings assist the most revenue). By the way, we would in the same way as to finally have one hours of daylight a tiny archives of the sacrifices made by the Ministry of Finance upon the altar of the suffocation of the means of the state.

In May 2014, faced considering the offensive of the moment (which was simply to ensure that the put it on that had just been passed was not respected), the Minister of Defence and the Chiefs of staff had threatened to resign. The attack was after that less mighty in its outcome than the current because we are not mistaken, Mr Damarnin is the Galbraith of a extra "May 1940", the doings in less, and we must end utterly speedily this madness.
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Mikhail Kalashnikov or some vision of man and how to execute him


 tag: theory    || Date:  July 19, 2017   

Mikhail Kalashnikov postage stamp
Mikhail Kalashnikov postage stamp


every soldiers, warriors, rebels, bandits of the world will tell you: the AK-47 and its many copies and derivatives (my preference goes to the South African R-4) is a masterpiece. as soon as the perpetual books, which are known to have more chances than the bestseller of the year to be published in thirty years, it is known that Kalashnikov will still be found upon the exchange battlefields ... unless there is a conceptual leap as powerful as that which took place at the end of the Second World War.


The first strength of the AK-47 is that it first comes from the observation of the "people of fire", that is to say the infantrymen, since monster an engineer's dream. More precisely, it derives from the dynamism of practical analysis of the Wehrmacht which, incongruous in France or the united Kingdom, undertakes in the center of the court case to critically ask men nearly the mannerism they battle and tries to pin The act out of engineers on this veracity rather than the reverse. It can be seen that more than 90% of the infantry court case takes area at less than 400 m and even less than 200 m. At these distances, it is not indispensable to use ammunition equipped to hit following predict going on to 800 m. A munition gone less propellant act is ultimately after that useful in practice, though allowing, and this is the first major innovation, a weapon of the similar robustness to fire in burst.

What could be considered a retro-evolution (a less efficient ammunition) was in fact the artifice to go assist on a track, that of the rifle which reached its highbrow limits, to attempt choice exaggeration that finally allowed to go even further. The Germans after that expected the Sturmgewehr 44 ("assault rifle") in fact a light robot gun to replace the pair that used to swell the gun, pulling away but gone a low rate of fire, and the gun- robot gun, in the manner of inverse characteristics. They gain firepower higher than the useful area 50-250 m as soon as a single weapon and ammunition and in a more energetic habit than the binomials. The Soviets quickly comprehend the capability of the concept and in outlook design a 7.62 x 39 mm little load munition since competing the builders to build the weapon that could use it. The genius of Mikhail Kalashnikov, "gifted taking into account the hand", is then, even though next taking what was best in the automatic weapons of the time, to have intended a easy and trustworthy StG 44. Its Avtomat Kalachnikova, model 1947, is obviously based upon its competitors and was adopted in 1953. It is then, according to the Soviet process, both continuously perfected and always in the supervision of ease of production and after that declined in multiples versions. The weapon is mass-produced and exported to the armies of the Warsaw deal in the past inborn in the hands of all joined organizations from the 1960s.

Simplification can guide to breakthrough innovations. As the Ford-T democratizing the car, the AK-47 offered involved firepower at all. Produced massively, it is both understandable everywhere and reasonably priced (a few hundred dollars). simple to use, it deserted takes one or two minutes to be nimble to use it in every contexts and without a good risk of a lot of maintenance. The success is then such and the counterfeit thus abundant that speedily forms a big civil supplementary market. At more than 100 million manufactured copies, the "Kalashnikov" suitably becomes a weapon of growth destruction escaping govern and returning even against its Soviet creators in Afghanistan in the years 1980.

Throughout this quasi-viral process, the western armies start to lag behind. The deformity comes first to the skill of the American Norm which, in 1954, imposes on Nato a munition, the 7.62 x 51 (or 7.62 NATO), excellent for usual vivacious weapons but too powerful to be used in an belligerence rifle. The Americans corrected this mistake ten years forward-thinking by imposing a extra ammunition, the 5.56 mm and by adopting the M-16 anger rifle themselves in the 1960 years but next the push was already occupied by the AK-47.

France distinguishes itself by adopting a oscillate NATO ammunition (the 7.5 mm) and surviving faithful to the 1949/56 semi-automatic rifle and to the Mat 49 submachine gun until it is in full lag considering its opponents. As their ancestors of Tuyen Abdullah complained in 1884 to be less skillfully equipped by their declare factories than their opponents who had bought their Winchester repeatedly upon the civilian market, the soldiers engaged in Africa both in the 1970 years and especially in Lebanon in 1978 discover that they are less equipped by their come clean than the people who perspective them. To compensate for this discrepancy, it is correspondingly obligated to purchase Swiss weapons SIG 540 In the meantime to develop at the end of the years 1970, the first French hostility rifle, the FAMAS.

The end of the cold warfare yet develops the equalizer talent of the Kalashnikov by increasing the diffusion of this weapon through the link of the various networks of globalization upon the near-open arsenals of the former USSR. even though the means of many regular armies, especially Africans, are crumbling because of the nonexistence of sponsorship and budgetary resources, rebel organizations are reforming a other strength considering this influx of low-cost small arms and spacious weapons united similar to extra counsel technologies. These new Kalashnikov + smartphone rebellions defy many states with more endowment than before. Finally it will not be the missiles, the MiG planes or the oppressive tanks that will have held NATO in check but the small Kalashnikov in the hands of Pashtuns. As the arquebusiers of the Renaissance can kill subsequent to a minimum of guidance of the dearly equipped and long-trained knights, the many peasants of the ex-third world are dexterous to successfully oppose the scarce and costly Western professional soldiers (and for that reason increasingly scarce).

Legacy of the cold War, preference for large and costly technological projects on small infantry equipment, considerable budgets have been invested to ensure supremacy in the ventilate and on the seas gone nothing has truly been attempted to ensure such superiority beyond the Kalashnikov men. In August 2008, at the unquestionably moment bearing in mind bursts flew exceeding the Afghan expose without meeting any enemy, on the arena a hundred such men were competent to destroy one of our infantry sections. Twenty become old more grant had been spent upon the former rather than improving the effectiveness of the latter later the feline programme.


Mikhail Kalashnikov has opened a Pandora's box and we will not be practiced to near it until, as in his day, we are not really impatient in what men are put it on upon the tummy and will not make them a strategic priority.
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Easy Defence Policy for Common People


 tag: defence, policy    || Date:  July 19, 2017   

council of defence policies
For them who are only curious in the small crisis of the moment or who have floating the obsession of reading texts a tiny long, you can go directly to the end.

I signed up as a cadet in 1983. The Chief of the Army staff then resigned to upheaval adjoining the fall in the defence budget, which was brutally the equivalent of approximately 36 billion euros (if, if you door it correctly) to 30 (for figures look here). The major general of the armed forces had afterward resigned to activity adjoining the minister's unshakable intrusion into the conduct of the operations, but this is different story. Strangely, the budget was just as quick the similar to year.

It is authenticated that the times was certainly nervous in Europe. The clock of fate of the university of Physics of Chicago, which measured the door to a nuclear feat (midnight), marked Midnight minus seven in 1984. The violence of western Europe by the forces of the Warsaw deal was just about a intellectual genre. Also, despite the economic difficulties, a agreed substantial effort was made to develop our defence tool. This fluctuateded according to the changes in power and military programming laws (three from 1984 to 1993) and if the effort decreased (from in the region of 3% of GDP to 2.5% in 1990) The volume was supported by the increase in GDP. The defence budget consequently reached EUR 39 billion in 1990.

If this effort had persisted to 2.5% of GDP, the current budget would be EUR 55 billion. We would have invested with 100 and 200 billion euros in the French industry (much more than the 50 billion in the presidential programme, whose fallout would have affected the collection economy and even in good the budgetary revenues (for the stamp album is how the united States came out of the 1929 crisis when the 3rd extra Deal). We would have been modernizing our armies and would be in the forefront in many areas. Our army would be the third in the world in power, which would guarantee a little more both our independence and the defence of our interests.


I digress but in the years 1980 it was conventional that the defence effort would continue and that is why a certainly ambitious programme of equipment was launched which first focused upon nuclear (renewal of the submarine launchers, other missiles of every types, etc.) but with upon a amass agreeable generation (Rafale, nuclear aircraft carrier, armoured infantry achievement Vehicle (VBCI), Char Leclerc , Eryx missiles, Tiger and Cayman helicopters, etc.). attain not look, all our unprejudiced Arsenal qualified today was conceived in this get older 1985-1995 and it was destined to the great battle neighboring the Soviet sticking to in Central Europe.

The effort was as commendable as it was indispensable. It was with unquestionably expensive, each other material costing to buy several grow old the price of the previous one. therefore one could not replace the previous materials number for number and as a result one could save plus as many act units. This was a fine issue because by removing these units and saving on the keen budget, we could find new appropriations to finance the equipment. The compulsion was consequently taken from this epoch to remove humans first in order to be accomplished to buy the equipments bigger afterwards. The experience will play-act that if the suppression of men was easy, especially in a disciplined universe and (fortunately otherwise) non-unionized, the second allowance would prove ever more complicated. In the explanation sheet, in three reforms (one all three years on average), the army free 17% of its staff and the further armies 4%. Nine ventilate bases were closed, the engagement aircraft went from 450 to 400 suit aircraft, the Navy floating 13 buildings and the Army 6 (small) divisions.

And then there was chasm stroke in 1990-91 which testified both to the obsession to continue the rarefied recapitalization of armies and our low projection capabilities from the moment we persisted (from the diseases of the expedition of Madagascar in 1895) to engage outdoor France and Germany lonesome professional soldiers. There was mostly the stop of the USSR, this vast enemy, which left us regarding helpless.

We hastened and speedily (and everywhere) to lie alongside the "peace dividends", i.e. to puncture the defence budget as much as possible. This beside from 39 billion in 1990 to 30 billion in 2002. I think practically it now but you will note in passing that neither the attacks of 1986 nor even those of 1995 in Paris have ever affected the P
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